In an interview with Havan News this Friday (4), the former Secretary of Economic Policy José Roberto Mendonça de Barros commented on the challenges that the war in ukraine brings to Brazilian agribusiness and the world economy.
For the specialist, “it is still too early to assess whether a crisis should occur in the agribusiness“. According to him, the problems with importing fertilizers should not yet be felt in the short term, as “the winter crop is already planted, therefore, the inputs are already in the country. In addition, there is a stock for planting which will be carry out from September onwards”.
However, Barros warns that “the problem is that we are in a scenario of the unknown” because of the war. “Countries in conflict, normally, to protect their domestic market, block exports. Today there is no way to matter, this can make the whole situation more complicated, ”he said.
According to the former secretary of Economic Policy, a factor that softens for agribusiness is the “residual fertilization” that still exists in the soil due to the good previous plantations. In this way, evaluates Barros, “fertilizing less than normal should not cause problems, as long as the climate is positive”.
Finally, the expert assesses that the Russia
“It will have great economic losses in the long run.”
In addition, he comments that the crisis generated by the invasion of Ukraine
“will accelerate the energy transition, as countries want to avoid any type of energy dependence on third parties”, he concludes.
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